Yemen on the Brink

By: Christopher Boucek and Marina Ottaway

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Synopsis: Yemen is facing a unique confluence of crises. A civil war in the North, a secessionist movement in the South, and a resurgence of al Qaeda are unfolding against the background of economic collapse, insufficient state capacity, and governance and corruption issues.The security challenges are the most important in the short run, because economic and governance issues cannot be addressed without a minimum of stability. This volume brings together analyses of the critical problems that have dragged Yemen close to state failure. It provides an assessment of Yemen's major security challenges by recognized experts, and it broadens the discussion of the tools available to the international community to pull Yemen back from the brink. Separate chapters examine the resurgence of al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, the complex relationship between al Qaeda and the Yemini tribes, the Southern secessionist movement, and the civil war in Saada.Contents include Yemen: Avoiding a Downward Spiral What Comes Next in Yemen? Al-Qaeda, the Tribes, and State-Building The Political Challenge of Yemen's Southern Movement War in Saada: From Local Insurrection to National Challenge Instrumentalizing Grievances: Al-Qaeda in the Arabian PeninsulaContributors include Sarah Phillips (Centre for International Security Studies, University of Sydney), Stephen Day (Rollins College), and Alistair Harris (RUSI and former diplomat and UN staff member).