Getting to War: Predicting International Conflict with Mass Media Indicators

By: W. Ben Hunt

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Synopsis: This book shows how to predict wars. More specifically, it tells us how to anticipate in a timely fashion the scope and extent of interstate conflict. By focusing on how all governments--democratic or not--seek to secure public support before undertaking risky moves such as starting a war, Getting to War provides a methodology for identifying a regime's intention to launch a conflict well in advance of the actual initiation. The goal here is the identification of leading indicators of war. Getting to War develops such a leading political indicator by a systematic examination of the ways in which governments influence domestic and international information flows. Regardless of the relative openness of the media system in question, we can accurately gauge the underlying intentions of those governments by a systematic analysis of opinion-leading articles in the mass media. This analysis allows us to predict both the likelihood of conflict and what form of conflict--military or diplomatic/economic--will occur.

Book Quality:: Publisher Quality
ISBN-13:: 9780472026487
Related ISBNs:: 9780472107513
Publisher:: The University of Michigan Press
Date of Addition:: 02/02/12
Copyrighted By:: The University of Michigan Press
Adult content:: No
Language:: English
Has Image Descriptions:: No
Categories:: Military, Nonfiction, Business and Finance, Law, Legal Issues and Ethics, Philosophy
Submitted By:: Bookshare Staff
Usage Restrictions:: This is a copyrighted book.