The Future of Economic Development in the Gulf Cooperation Council States: Evidence-Based Policy Analysis (Routledge Studies in the Modern World Economy)

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Synopsis
The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries own 30 percent of the world’s proven oil reserves and largely depend on oil for their income. Yet, the GCC faces serious challenges. The global demand for oil is expected to continue declining and the average long-run oil price could become lower than its historical average in the future. This book is a research–based, structural macroeconomic analysis, providing evidence-based and future-facing, policy recommendations for GCC governments. First, it analyzes historical data to explain the macroeconomic performance and economic policies of the GCC countries from 1970 to 2019. Then it presents ten-year dynamic stochastic projections from 2020 to 2030. The book examines debt sustainability and optimal fiscal policies, i.e., government spending and taxation. It also analyses structural issues such as savings and productivity, and from an institutional perspective, taking into account education, the labor market, and pension funds, as well as other factors that have a close effect on economic performance. The book is comprehensive and thorough, it relies on extensive econometric analyses, including rigorous time series analysis. The author uses both calibration of theoretical models and estimation, facilitating projections for the next decade of key economic variables under different policy scenarios. The book also assesses what the future of the GCC economies will look like if climate change and the COVID-19 pandemic continue to, adversely, affect oil supply and demand, and the price of oil, given their current policies and institutions. As well as scholars and researchers of economics and finance, the book will engage policymakers in central banks, treasury departments, planning councils, research institutes and think tanks.
Copyright:
2022

Book Details

Book Quality:
Publisher Quality
Book Size:
168 Pages
ISBN-13:
9781000618556
Related ISBNs:
9781032264332, 9781032264356, 9781003288282
Publisher:
Taylor and Francis
Date of Addition:
Copyrighted By:
Weshah Razzak. The right of Weshah Razzak to be identified as author of this work has been asserted in accordance with sections
Adult content:
No
Language:
English
Has Image Descriptions:
No
Categories:
Nonfiction, Business and Finance, Mathematics and Statistics
Submitted By:
Bookshare Staff
Usage Restrictions:
This is a copyrighted book.

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