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Decision and Game Theory for Security
by Quanyan Zhu Tansu Alpcan Emmanouil Panaousis Milind Tambe William CaseyThis book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Decision and Game Theory for Security, GameSec 2015, held in London, UK, in November 2015. The 16 revised full papers presented together with 5 short papers were carefully reviewed and selected from 37 submissions. Game and decision theory has emerged as a valuable systematic framework with powerful analytical tools in dealing with the intricacies involved in making sound and sensible security decisions. For instance, game theory provides methodical approaches to account for interdependencies of security decisions, the role of hidden and asymmetric information, the perception of risks and costs in human behaviour, the incentives/limitations of the attackers, and much more. Combined with our classical approach to computer and network security, and drawing from various fields such as economic, social and behavioural sciences, game and decision theory is playing a fundamental role in the development of the pillars of the "science of security".
The Decision Book: Fifty Models For Strategic Thinking (Fully Revised Edition) (The Tschäppeler And Krogerus Collection)
by Mikael Krogerus Roman Tschäppeler<P>An updated edition of the international bestseller that distills into a single volume the fifty best decision-making models. <P> Every day, we face the same questions: How do I make the right decision? How can I work more efficiently? And, on a more personal level, what do I want? <P> This updated edition of the international bestseller distills into a single volume the fifty best decision-making models used in MBA courses, and elsewhere, that will help you tackle these important questions. In minutes you can become conversant with: <P> The Long Tail • The Maslow Pyramids • SWOT Analysis • The Rubber Band Model • The Prisoner's Dilemma • Cognitive Dissonance • The Eisenhower Matrix • Conflict Resolution • Flow • The Personal Potential Trap • and many more. <P> Stylish and compact, this little book is a powerful asset. Whether you need to plan a presentation, assess someone's business idea, or get to know yourself better, this unique guide—bursting with useful visual tools—will help you simplify any problem and make the best decision.
Decision Cases for Advanced Social Work Practice
by Terry A. Wolfer Lori D Franklin Karen A GrayThese fifteen cases take place in child welfare, mental health, hospital, hospice, domestic violence, refugee resettlement, veterans' administration, and school settings and reflect individual, family, group, and supervised social work practice. They confront common ethical and treatment issues and raise issues regarding practice interventions, programs, policies, and laws. Cases represent open-ended situations, encouraging students to apply knowledge from across the social work curriculum to develop problem-solving and critical-thinking skills. An instructor's manual is available on the press's website.
The Decision Intelligence Handbook
by L. Y. Pratt N. E. MalcolmDecision intelligence (DI) has been widely named as a top technology trend for several years, and Gartner reports that more than a third of large organizations are adopting it. Some even say that DI is the next step in the evolution of AI. Many software vendors offer DI solutions today, as they help organizations implement their evidence-based or data-driven decision strategies.But until now, there has been little practical guidance for organizations to formalize decision making and integrate their decisions with data.With this book, authors L. Y. Pratt and N. E. Malcolm fill this gap. They present a step-by-step method for integrating technology into decisions that bridge from actions to desired outcomes, with a focus on systems that act in an advisory, human-in-the-loop capacity to decision makers.This handbook addresses three widespread data-driven decision-making problems:How can decision makers use data and technology to ensure desired outcomes?How can technology teams communicate effectively with decision makers to maximize the return on their data and technology investments?How can organizational decision makers assess and improve their decisions over time?
Decision Making: Uncertainty, Imperfection, Deliberation and Scalability
by Tatiana V. Guy Miroslav Kárný David H. WolpertThis volume focuses on uncovering the fundamental forces underlying dynamic decision making among multiple interacting, imperfect and selsh decision makers. The chapters are written by leading experts from different disciplines, all considering the many sources of imperfection in decision making, and always with an eye to decreasing the myriad discrepancies between theory and real world human decision making. Topics addressed include uncertainty, deliberation cost and the complexity arising from the inherent large computational scale of decision making in these systems. In particular, analyses and experiments are presented which concern: * task allocation to maximize "the wisdom of the crowd"; * design of a society of "edutainment" robots who account for one anothers' emotional states; * recognizing and counteracting seemingly non-rational human decision making; * coping with extreme scale when learning causality in networks; * efciently incorporating expert knowledge in personalized medicine; * the effects of personality on risky decision making. The volume is a valuable source for researchers, graduate students and practitioners in machine learning, stochastic control, robotics, and economics, among other elds.
Decision Making and Knowledge Decision Support Systems
by Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente Constantin ZopounidisThis book presents recent advancements of research, new methods and techniques, applications and projects in decision making and decision support systems. It explores expert systems and neural networks, knowledge engineering and management, fuzzy sets and systems and computational methods for optimization, data analysis and decision making. It presents applications in Economics, Finance, Management and Engineering. The book undertakes to stimulate scientific exchange, ideas and experiences in the field of decision making in Economy and Management. Researchers and practitioners alike will benefit from this book, when they are dealing with imprecision, vagueness and uncertainty in the context of decision making.
Decision Making and Optimization
by Martin Gavalec Jaroslav Ramík Karel ZimmermannThe book is a benefit for graduate and postgraduate students in the areas of operations research, decision theory, optimization theory, linear algebra, interval analysis and fuzzy sets. The book will also be useful for the researchers in the respective areas. The first part of the book deals with decision making problems and procedures that have been established to combine opinions about alternatives related to different points of view. Procedures based on pairwise comparisons are thoroughly investigated. In the second part we investigate optimization problems where objective functions and constraints are characterized by extremal operators such as maximum, minimum or various triangular norms (t-norms). Matrices in max-min algebra are useful in applications such as automata theory, design of switching circuits, logic of binary relations, medical diagnosis, Markov chains, social choice, models of organizations, information systems, political systems and clustering. The input data in real problems are usually not exact and can be characterized by interval values.
Decision Making for Student Success: Behavioral Insights to Improve College Access and Persistence
by Saul Schwartz Sandy Baum Benjamin L. CastlemanEach year, many students with affordable college options and the academic skills needed to succeed do not enroll at all, enroll at institutions where they are not well-positioned for success, or drop out of college before earning a credential. Efforts to address these challenges have included changes in financial aid policy, increased availability of information, and enhanced academic support. This volume argues that the efficacy of these strategies can be improved by taking account of contemporary research on how students make choices. In Decision Making for Student Success, scholars from the fields of behavioral economics, education, and public policy explore contemporary research on decision-making and highlight behavioral insights that can improve postsecondary access and success. This exciting volume will provide scholars, researchers, and higher education administrators with valuable perspectives and low-cost strategies that they can employ to improve outcomes for underserved populations.
Decision-Making in an Organizational Context
by Josep Maria RosanasIllustrates how decision-making in organizations has to go beyond economic criteria and the individual level, due to the impossibility of making decisions that do not affect other human beings. The author reviews the conventional analyses of decision-making that do not take into account how decisions affect others and suggests an alternate model.
Decision Making in Educational Leadership: Principles, Policies, and Practices (Educational Leadership And Policy Decision-making In Neoliberal Times Ser.)
by Colin W. Evers Stephanie ChitpinThe increased focus on raising standards in education requires leaders to engage in complex decision making about teacher assessment, mandated accountability measures, and the collection and use of large amounts of data. Showcasing exemplary practices of school and district administrators, Decision Making in Educational Leadership covers issues concerning the role of emotion, ethical and legal ramifications, the use of data, and complexity in decision making. Chapter authors in this research-based volume explore what administrators and school leaders actually know about educational problems, how they draw upon and revise theories of action for responding to problems, and which theories are tenable in educational decision making. This important resource provides a broad and international perspective on effective models and methods of educational decision making and shares valuable knowledge about how theory can be translated into practice in a variety of school settings.
Decision Making in Health and Medicine
by M.G. Myriam Hunink Milton C. Weinstein Eve Wittenberg Michael F. Drummond Joseph S. Pliskin John B. Wong Paul P. Glasziou M.G. Myriam Hunink Milton C. Weinstein Eve Wittenberg Michael F. Drummond Joseph S. Pliskin John B. WongDecision making in health care means navigating through a complex and tangled web of diagnostic and therapeutic uncertainties, patient preferences and values, and costs. In addition, medical therapies may include side effects, surgery may lead to undesirable complications, and diagnostic technologies may produce inconclusive results. In many clinical and health policy decisions it is necessary to counterbalance benefits and risks, and to trade off competing objectives such as maximizing life expectancy vs optimizing quality of life vs minimizing the required resources. This textbook plots a clear course through these complex and conflicting variables. It clearly explains and illustrates tools for integrating quantitative evidence-based data and subjective outcome values in making clinical and health policy decisions. An accompanying CD-ROM features solutions to the exercises, PowerPoint® presentations of the illustrations, and sample models and tables.
Decision Making in Marketing and Finance
by Paul Sergius KokuAs interest in MBA programs and business schools more generally continues to grow, it is essential that teachers and students analyse their established strategy for decision making. The successful use of case studies in business schools shows the superior outcomes of an interdisciplinary approach to problem solving. Disappointingly, functional departmental silos within universities still exist and keep problem solvers from seeing all the effects of a given issue. In addition to providing teaching material, Decision Making in Marketing and Finance provides motives and strategies to break down functional silos in making informed and effective business and finance decisions. Koku achieves his goal by showing how value can be created for shareholders and other stakeholders, linking marketing and finance decision making, and providing much-needed teaching materials for an interdisciplinary approach to case analysis.
Decision-Making in the EU before and after the Lisbon Treaty (West European Politics Ser.)
by Madeleine Hosli Amie Kreppel Amy VerdunDecision-making in the European Union before and after the Lisbon Treaty aims to assess what the changes the Treaty of Lisbon envisaged and whether these ambitions have materialised since the Treaty entered into force. It offers analyses of the past, as well as what might be the future (because some provisions will only enter into effect in the years to come). To what extent has the current decision-making process been able to address the shortcomings and challenges of the past? What has been the impact of aspects of the Lisbon Treaty that clarified pre-existing norms and structures, in some cases formalizing them, rather than introducing new changes? The authors in this book look at the interaction between formal rules and informal practices seeking to point to the interaction between the two. They find that informal practices to date typically still dominate formal rules. This book was published as a special issue of West European Politics.
Decision Taking, Confidence and Risk Management in Banks from Early Modernity to the 20th Century
by Korinna SchönhärlThis book offers 14 contributions that examine key questions concerning bankers#65533; decision making, their confidence in partners and customers, and their risk management practices from Early Modernity to the 20th century. It explores various mechanisms of banks' decision taking, how they were established and how they changed over time. Specific chapters also analyze the types of risk management techniques used and the extent of their success; factors that contributed to the constitution of confidence and factors that damaged it; and methods that banking historians can use to analyze and describe bankers#65533; risk management and decision making. The volume features varied methodological approaches for historical research (from system theory to behavioural finance, from new institutional economics to praxeology, from convention theory to network analysis). The different methodological approaches are put to the test in case studies based on archive material from five hundred years of banking (from Early Modern European banking networks to international computerization) in order to connect banking history more closely to political and cultural history.
Decision Theater zur Förderung mathematischer Modellierungskompetenz: Grundlagen, Einsatz und Anwendungsbeispiel (essentials)
by Alexander BrödnerDieses Buch bietet eine grundlegende Einführung in den Einsatz der Methode des Decision Theater zur Vermittlung von mathematischer Modellierungskompetenz im Schulkontext. In den letzten Jahren hat sich unter anderem anhand der Covid-19 Pandemie mehr denn je gezeigt, wie Mathematik im Allgemeinen und das mathematische Modellieren im Speziellen zum Verständnis globaler Herausforderungen und Möglichkeiten zu ihrer Bewältigung beiträgt. Deshalb sollte die mathematische Modellierungskompetenz eine zentrale Rolle im Schulunterricht spielen. Doch der Prozess von Vermittlung und Erwerb einer solchen Kompetenz ist komplex und mit vielfältigen Schwierigkeiten verbunden. Angesichts dieser Ausgangslage stellt das Buch die Methode des Decision Theater als innovative Lernumgebung neuer Art vor, die die Vermittlung von mathematischer Modellierungskompetenz unterstützen kann. Dabei trägt die Methode des Decision Theatre auf drei Ebenen dazu beiträgt, Modellierungskompetenz und ein damit verbundenes ganzheitliches Bild der Mathematik zu fördern: Das Decision Theatre dient als IT-Dienstleister, als Wissenschaftskommunikator und als interaktiv-diskursive Lernumgebung. Neben Geschichte und Definition des Decision Theater, stellt das Buch dessen Einsatz konkret am Beispiel des Projekts „Schule @ Decision Theatre Lab“ des Berliner Exzellenzclusters MATH+ Berlin Mathematics Research Center vor. Als Zusammenfassung der wichtigsten Aspekte des Einsatzes der Methode des Decision Theater im Schulkontext richtet sich das Buch an Didaktiker*innen und Lehrkräfte aller Schulformen.
Decision Tools for Radiation Oncology
by Carsten Nieder Laurie E. GasparA look at the recent oncology literature or a search of the common databases reveals a steadily increasing number of nomograms and other prognostic models. These models may predict the risk of relapse, lymphatic spread of a given malignancy, toxicity, survival, etc. Pathology information, gene signatures, and clinical data may all be used to compute the models. This trend reflects increasingly individualized treatment concepts, the need for approaches that achieve a favorable balance between effectiveness and side-effects, and the goal of optimal resource utilization reflecting prognostic knowledge. In order to avoid misuse, it is important to understand the limits and caveats of prognostic and predictive models. This book provides a comprehensive overview of such decision tools for radiation oncology, stratified by disease site, which will enable readers to make informed choices in daily clinical practice and to critically follow the future development of new tools in the field.
Decision Traps: Ten Barriers to Brilliant Decision-Making and How to Overcome Them
by J. Edward Russo Paul H. SchoemakerFrom the Book Jacket: Make Every Decision Your Best Decision Executives rate decision-making ability as the most important business skill, but few people have the training they need to make good decisions consistently. Becoming a good decision-maker is like training to be a top athlete: Just as the best coaches use training methods to help athletes develop proper techniques and avoid mistakes, Dr. J. Edward Russo and Dr. Paul I. H. Schoemaker have developed a program that can help you avoid "decision traps"-the ten common decision-making errors that most people make over and over again. Dr. Russo and Dr. Schoemaker have improved the decision- making skills of thousands of Fortune 500 executives with this program. Now you can use their decision-making techniques to make sure that your last bad decision was your last bad decision.
Decisions: Seeking God's Guidance (LifeGuide Bible Studies)
by Donald BakerDo you sometimes wish that the Bible could make your decisions for you? Donald Baker is familiar with this desire. He writes, "God has given me free will, and while I appreciate his confidence in my ability to choose, there are times when I wish that he would make the decisions for me." The Bible won't give you a direct answer to each choice—or dilemma—you face. But the Bible will teach you how to make decisions wisely, confidently and in harmony with God's will. This nine-session LifeGuide Bible Study will introduce you to the Bible's lessons on decisionmaking—and show you how to apply what you learn to your own decisions, big and small. For over three decades LifeGuide Bible Studies have provided solid biblical content and raised thought-provoking questions—making for a one-of-a-kind Bible study experience for individuals and groups. This series has more than 130 titles on Old and New Testament books, character studies, and topical studies. PDF download with a single-user license; available from InterVarsity Press and other resellers.
Decisions (Sweet Valley High #46)
by Francine Pascal Kate WilliamGeorge's face was grim as he drove along with Robin. "Your aunt has no right to mess up our plans, Robin. You're staying right here. She can't send you three thousand miles away like you're her property." A chill traveled up Robin's spine. George was doing the same thing her aunt was doing-- deciding what was right for her without asking her what she thought!
Decisions and Dilemmas of Research Methods in Early Childhood Education (Routledge Research in Early Childhood Education)
by Anne KearyThis book examines the methodological decisions made by researchers working in early childhood contexts. Viewed from a researcher’s perspective, each chapter explores the journey of the researcher, capturing their decision-making processes in early childhood research. Through themes such as the politics of ethics and how different cultural norms shape research in different localities, Decisions and Dilemmas of Research Methods in Early Childhood Education explores key questions such as: What are the ethical issues arising during early childhood research? Which research traditions and methodologies prevail and why? How are research subjects perceived and positioned within different research contexts? What interdisciplinary tensions or opportunities arise between different ways of working across early childhood research? The book critically unpacks how these decisions are made and by whom during the course of research. Each chapter includes reflections of researchers working across disciplines such as education, health and social work to understand the thinking, forces and actors that shape decisions made during the research process. This is essential reading for researchers working in early childhood contexts in fields such as social work, health, education, criminology, psychology and more.
The Decisive Mind: How to Make the Right Choice Every Time
by Dr Sheheryar Banuri*Available for pre-order: a new model for understanding and optimising your decision making skills by a leading behavioural economist*__________Have you ever set yourself a goal but struggled to achieve it? In a world overflowing with choices and distractions, indecision can be paralysing. It can lead to missed opportunities, stress, even damaged relationships. In The Decisive Mind, decision making expert Professor Sheheryar Banuri provides a new framework to choose the life you want, one decision at a time. Using real-world examples and his own ground-breaking research, Professor Banuri shows how even the smallest decisions have a profound impact on our lives. By understanding and streamlining your own process of decision-making, you will be able to make simple, effective, and efficient choices to help you edge closer to your aspirations and achieve your goals. From big, life-altering choices to the everyday decisions that shape your routine, The Decisive Mind puts you in control of your decision-making and sets you on the path to a more decisive you. Whether you seek to make bold career moves, enhance your relationships, or simply improve your overall well-being, this book will help you harness the immense potential of you. __________
The Decisive Mind: How to Make the Right Choice Every Time
by Dr Sheheryar Banuri*Available for pre-order: a new model for understanding and optimising your decision making skills by a leading behavioural economist*__________Have you ever set yourself a goal but struggled to achieve it? In a world overflowing with choices and distractions, indecision can be paralysing. It can lead to missed opportunities, stress, even damaged relationships. In The Decisive Mind, decision making expert Professor Sheheryar Banuri provides a new framework to choose the life you want, one decision at a time. Using real-world examples and his own ground-breaking research, Professor Banuri shows how even the smallest decisions have a profound impact on our lives. By understanding and streamlining your own process of decision-making, you will be able to make simple, effective, and efficient choices to help you edge closer to your aspirations and achieve your goals. From big, life-altering choices to the everyday decisions that shape your routine, The Decisive Mind puts you in control of your decision-making and sets you on the path to a more decisive you. Whether you seek to make bold career moves, enhance your relationships, or simply improve your overall well-being, this book will help you harness the immense potential of you. __________
The Decisive Mind: How to Make the Right Choice Every Time
by Dr Sheheryar BanuriA new model for understanding and optimising your decision-making skillsHave you ever wondered why you make bad decisions? Or why it's so hard to make a decision in the first place? Through pioneering research into behavioural science, decisions expert Dr Sheheryar Banuri has designed an entirely novel decision-making framework which can be adopted into everyday life to help us better our decision-making skills by understanding and streamlining the process. The result? Simple, effective and efficient techniques to combat indecision.The Decisive Mind will draw on examples from evolutionary psychology, examine our ability (or inability) to prioritise and highlight the scenarios that force decision-making errors, and help us understand our own minds. By unpicking a lifetime's worth of misconceptions about our own decision-making patterns and habits, this audiobook will guide you on your first steps towards optimising your own brain space.(P) 2023 Hodder & Stoughton Limited
Deck the Halls, We're Off the Walls! (My Weird School Special)
by Dan GutmanA. J. and the gang from My Weird School star in this series of after-school, holiday-themed chapter books featuring brand-new hilarious stories and thirty-two pages of games, puzzles, and more. Its Christmas, and you know what that means Santa Claus is coming to town Or at least to the local mall. But what happens when kid rapper Cray-Z gives a Christmas concert at the same mall and all his fans go bananas? One things for sure--if A. J. and his friends from Ella Mentry School want to save the day, they will need a Christmas miracle. Bestselling author Dan Gutman brings his wacky, kid-friendly sense of humor to this all-new series of holiday adventures. With My Weird School trivia and Christmas-themed facts and puzzles, this is one weird Christmas special you dont want to miss
The Decline and Renaissance of Universities: Moving from the Big Brother University to the Slow University
by Renzo RossoInstead of following the Magna Charta Universitatum, the declaration of the principles of knowledge signed in 1988 in Bologna, the academic approach pursued in Europe and the other continents over the past 30 years has strictly employed a utilitarian model of higher education. This jeopardizes academic freedom, shared governance and tenure, the three pillars of the long-established model of universities. Scientific conformism and fragmentation, educational bias and authoritarianism are the major drawbacks, together with a poor readiness to meet the emerging challenges in the labor market and technology. In this book, Renzo Rosso presents a new model for countering these developments, e.g. by establishing novel democratic rules for university governance. The Slow University paradigm positions culture and education as essential tools for the long-term survival of humankind.